83.1K
NIPrediction markets aren't markets.
@nicholascrown
#Predictionmarkets
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379.5K
REThis Is Why Prediction Markets Are Taking Over 👇
In this clip, the CEO of Polymarket, Shayne Coplan, talks about Polymarket’s potential after the 2024 U.S. election and why the platform could reshape how the world views forecasting and uncertainty. He explains that the enormous trading volume around election outcomes showed how much real-world information can be aggregated through a prediction market — where prices reflect collective expectations rather than just opinion polls — and that this model could expand far beyond politics into economics, global events, technology trends, and more.
Coplan highlights that prediction markets like Polymarket harness financial incentives to reveal probabilities in real time, potentially providing signals that are more responsive than traditional forecasting tools. He positions Polymarket not just as a betting platform but as a new kind of information engine that can influence how investors, analysts, and even policymakers understand future risks and outcomes
Follow 👉 @realworldmarkets
#polymarket #kalshi #predictionmarkets #eventodds #usmarkets
@realworldmarkets
251.3K
NPA federal judge in Ohio has ruled that prediction markets are evading the law, and that apps like Kalshi and Polymarket are no different than gambling.
Kalshi argues it should not be regulated like a gambling operation because it’s technically a type of “futures contract,” not a gambling site. But billions of dollars are spent every week on Kalshi, where people bet on who will win the latest season of "Survivor;" whether Trump will say “midnight hammer,” and how many times sports announcers will say the word “foul.” Nearly $6 billion was traded in the past week on Kalshi and Polymarket — up nearly 2,000% from last year.
In her ruling, Morrison wrote treating this as anything other than gambling is “absurd.” Kalshi says it plans to appeal.
@npr
220.4K
WSCharles Schwab's CEO Rick Wurster warns about the difference between gambling and investing.
At the link in our bio, Wurster discusses prediction markets, young investors and how he views the Trump accounts.
📷: Daniel Vergara
@wsj
268.3K
ROPrediction markets are the wildest part of the internet.
Someone placed a big bet on a major political outcome, hours before the news broke, and turned a small stake into a massive payout.
That’s the point: these markets don’t price opinions, they price edges. Every headline becomes a chart. Every rumor becomes a number.
If you read past the tweet and move early, you can get paid for speed. Think faster than the crowd feels, and you win.
@robthebank
2.6M
AVSomeone just open-sourced what feels like a Bloomberg Terminal for geopolitics 🌍
WorldMonitor is a real-time global intelligence dashboard combining military tracking, infrastructure monitoring, OSINT feeds, and AI threat analysis into one interactive map.
Here’s what makes it insane:
→ AI reads 100+ news sources and generates intelligence briefs automatically
→ Detects news velocity spikes before stories trend
→ Correlates military flights, protests, outages, and satellite signals into convergence alerts
→ Country-level Instability Index scoring geopolitical risk in real time
→ Interactive map layering aircraft, vessels, conflicts, infrastructure, and protests
→ Military aircraft and naval vessel tracking with dark-ship anomaly detection
→ Nuclear facilities, submarine cables, oil pipelines, and AI datacenter mapping
→ Internet outages, sanctions, protests, and satellite fire detection
→ Prediction markets used as early warning indicators
→ Market-before-news anomaly tracking
→ Strategic chokepoint and logistics monitoring
→ Modular open-source architecture for custom intelligence feeds
This is the kind of situational awareness platform governments and hedge funds pay millions for… and it runs locally in your browser.
No subscriptions. No classified access. Fully open source.
Comment WORLD and I’ll send the link 🔗
#ai #aitools #intelligence
@avatarist.ai
83.8K
CNLuana Lopes Lara, co-founder and COO of Kalshi, explains why she believes prediction markets will be bigger than the stock market.
Listen to the full interview on the CNBC Changemakers and Power Players podcast, at the link in bio.
@cnbc
339.1K
AL@chrislhayes reacts after finding out people were using prediction markets to bet on what he would say during a @colbertlateshow appearance.
@allinwithchris
1.2M
DOSomeone just conducted a live experiment that reveals how different AI systems perform when given real money and complete autonomy in financial markets.
Two autonomous AI agents were each given $1,000 and 48 hours to trade independently on Polymarket, a prediction market platform. No human intervention. No guidance. Just pure algorithmic decision making in real time.
Both agents started with identical conditions: same capital, same time window, same market access. The only variable was the underlying AI model powering each agent’s trading decisions.
The results were strikingly different.
The agent running on Claude executed over 5,200 trades during the 48-hour period, transforming the initial $1,000 into approximately $14,200. That’s a return exceeding 1,300%, while simultaneously covering its own API costs throughout the experiment.
The competing OpenClaw agent told a very different story. It executed fewer than 200 trades, experienced a 94% drawdown, and completely depleted its funds before the test period ended.
Same starting capital. Same market conditions. Two AI systems with vastly different outcomes.
This experiment highlights something important as artificial intelligence becomes more sophisticated and autonomous. These systems are no longer just theoretical constructs or controlled demonstrations. They’re capable of operating independently in complex, real world environments where financial decisions have actual consequences.
As machine learning models continue advancing and autonomous agents become more capable, we’re entering a phase where AI systems may actively compete against each other in financial markets, making split second decisions that humans simply cannot match in speed or volume.
The question isn’t whether this technology works. The question is what happens next as these systems scale.
⸻
Don’t forget to Share and Follow @dontlookback.ai
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#AI #technology #trading #autonomousAI
artificial intelligence, machine learning, algorithmic trading, prediction markets, autonomous agents, financial technology, AI models, Claude AI, automated systems, market analysis, fintech innovation, intelligent automation
@dontlookback.ai
22.9M
GADuring the 2026 Grammy Awards, host Trevor Noah intentionally said the word “potato” before joking, “If you had me saying ‘potato’ on @polymarket, you just made a ton of money,” even shouting out a user named “noah_22.”
The line referenced Polymarket prediction markets where users bet on words or moments during live events. While “potato” wasn’t actually a listed option, the joke went viral and sparked memes and conversation around prediction markets entering mainstream entertainment.
#polymarketpartner
@galaxies
9.3K
MAPrediction markets are going CRAZY! 👀 Predict Tools is a unified terminal providing advanced tools for Kalshi and Polymarket, and that’s why i’m bullish. Thank you for partnering on this post!
@masonversluis
933
BA“Polymarket is better positioned going into 2026.”
With FanDuel, DraftKings, and Robinhood entering prediction markets, sports betting is about to get crowded.
Polymarket’s edge? It’s broader than sports and built for the next phase of onchain markets.
#PredictionMarkets #Crypto #Polymarket #DeFi #Web3
@bankless
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